A Program of the Stanley Foundation

Agenda and Meeting Notes

Independent Task Force on Strategies for US National Security: Winning the Peace in the 21st Century

The "Soft" Side of Grand Strategy: Economics and Democratic Values
Session 4
March 20, 2003

Meeting Notes (pdf 59 KB)—Summarized by Michael Kraig, Ph.D.

Presentation by

Ellen Frost, Visiting Fellow, Institute for International Economics
Peter Dombrowski, Associate Professor, Naval War College

Economics and Grand Strategy

What is the Bush economic grand strategy, and how does it support or undermine military methods? Is the current economic strategy sustainable? Can the United States actually afford a policy of indefinite global primacy and, if so, how?

Spreading Democracy to Increase Global Stability and US Security

Is it in the US interest to expand the zone of liberal (capitalist) democracy on a global basis as a means of transforming the international system, increasing regional stability, and raising the level of economic development? What does it mean to expand the zone of liberal democracy? What are the preferred methods for supporting democratic transitions in such regions?

Transnational Dangers: What Does "War Fighting" or "Prevention" Mean in a Globalized World?

What are the roles of the individual, the group network, or the cartel in mounting threats toward the United States? Should the United States be focusing almost exclusively on the threat of WMD terrorism as compared to other transnational threats? What does it mean to "fight" a war against transnational actors, and with what implications for US strategy? How does one "prevent" these threats from emerging?

Prevention of Threat Emergence Vs. Prevention of Attack: Calculating Policy Trade-Offs

How should the US government calculate the "opportunity costs" of spending on counterforce weaponry and military methods versus money spent on aid programs, democratization, and other "soft" security items to prevent a threat from emerging in the first place? How are these related, if at all? Should the government construct a coherent way of comparing and contrasting the costs of each?